George Friedman

Andrey Fesyun

Heinz Fischer

Alan Freeman

Andrey Filatov

Enrico Fardella

Thomas Flichy de La Neuville

Valery Fyodorov

Franco Frattini

Mohamed-Chérif Ferjani

George Friedman

United States

Chairman of Stratfor, a private company he founded in 1996 that publishes geopolitical analyses and forecasting of international affairs. He is the best-selling author of books on national security and geopolitical forecasting including “The Next 100 Years” and “The Next Decade.” His forthcoming book "Flashpoints: The Emerging Crisis in Europe" will be released on January 27, 2015.

Dr Friedman graduated with a Bachelor’s Degree from the City College of New York and a PhD in Government from Cornell University.

Materials

Opinions

Strategic Forecasting: The Impersonal Dimension of Intelligence

Strategic forecasting is that portion of intelligence that focuses on events that have broad and fundamental effects on the international system. Examples of strategic events would include the collapse of the European imperial system, the Soviet attempt to change the global balance of power by placing missiles in Cuba, the American entente with China, the 2008 financial crisis or the current confrontation over Ukraine.

04.12.2014

Valdai Papers

№6

Strategic Forecasting: The Impersonal Dimension of Intelligence

The sixth Valdai Paper introduces to the reader the part of the intelligence which is not common among government and state intelligence services. Dealing with the fundamental events this analysis method allows to understand the major processes underway and to predict general patterns of the future developments.

04.12.2014

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