Valdai Club

On March 20th, there will be a third meaningful vote on Brexit. The most likely scenario is the approval of Theresa May’s deal, because the MPs will not manage to find any other solution, and those who previously said “no” to the deal will now say “yes”. Time is running short, however, so the vote is expected to be very close. Hence, the chances are high that May’s deal will pass, even by a margin as razor-thin as three or four votes, says Iain Ferguson, research fellow at the ‘International Laboratory on World Order Studies and New Regionalism’ at the National Research University of the Higher School of Economics.

On Tuesday night, Theresa May’s Brexit deal was overwhelmingly rejected by the House of Commons. Mrs May’s crushing loss is the the biggest defeat inflicted on any UK government by parliament. The prime minister is now in a race against time to revamp and revive her deal before Britain’s scheduled departure from the EU on March 29.