The Arab Spring has shifted the balance in the Middle East, highlighting new problems and challenges for Russia and other regional and extra-regional powers.
Russia’s Sochi played host to the Valdai Discussion Club Middle East section’s conference “Transformation in the Arab World and Russia’s Interests” on February 17-18, 2012.
The Valdai International Discussion Club held the Moscow-Astana videoconference “Elections in Kazakhstan and the outlook for Eurasian integration” at the RIA Novosti press center.
The theses contained in the report “Russia should not miss its chance: Development scenarios” were prepared by the working group comprising Russian and international experts ahead of the VIII annual Valdai Discussion Club meeting, themed “2011-2012 Elections and the Future of Russia. Development Scenarios for the Next 5-8 Years”.
The Valdai Index represents the combined opinion of leading world experts that participated in Valdai Club conferences with respect to Russia’s development in the political, economic, social, cultural and international spheres. Download Russia Development Index 2010-2011 in Russian (PDF)
The report examines how the Russia’s and United States` ties with the countries in post-Soviet Eurasia affect the bilateral relationship. The authors argue that despite the initial successes of the “reset” in Russia-U.S. relations, disputes relating to post-Soviet Eurasia represent “a ‘landmine’ in Russia -U.S. relations that could ‘detonate’ at any time and seriously complicate cooperation on other issues.
RuNet is much more open than other media for expressing discontent with the existing order. At the same time, the authorities are also active in it. It is also a place where part of the population, the most educated and young users express their abilities as entrepreneurs. There are real success stories in the RuNet.
Russian society is surprisingly passive in the struggle for its rights in the early 21st century. It seems the people haven’t yet overcome the slavery of the 1930s. It will take a long time for people to learn how to unite horizontally and fight not only for their own interests, but for their civil rights as well.
One of the greatest troubles in present-day Russia is the distorted vision of society that has been inherited from the Soviet era. People believe that citizens must serve their government. The idea that the government is there to serve the people sounds sacrilegious.
A monument to Pope John Paul II is to be unveiled in Moscow in a couple weeks. In a broader context, it could be seen as a symbolic act, signifying an absolutely new atmosphere in the relations between the Vatican and Russia, Poland and Russia, and the Roman Catholic and Russian Orthodox churches.
Russia’s poor institutional foundation and expensive labor do not fit the existing commodity-based economic model, which requires the cheapest possible workers – immigrants. We are witnessing a giant pro-immigration campaign, with some even claiming that immigration will “save Russia.”
Tourism is certainly one of the most prospective and attractive sectors in the North Caucasus, but the whole Caucasus is considered one of the most insecure and unstable regions of Eurasia. The development of tourism in this region must rely on a new level of cooperation between federal powers and regional and local communities.
The Strategic Initiatives Agency (SIA), established upon Prime Minister Vladimir Putin’s initiative, began working in September. Valdaiclub.com interview with SIA General Director Andrey Nikitin about the agency’s activities.
Seen from Moscow, the Middle East lies on its very doorstep. With 20 million Muslims in the Northern Caucasus, Russia feels that its domestic stability is linked to developments in the Arab world, especially to the rise of Islamist parties. After a long absence, Russia is now demanding a seat for itself at the top table of Middle East affairs.
The creation of a contact group for Syria similar to the League of Friends of the Syrian Opposition, whose mission is military intervention in a sovereign state, is entirely inconsistent with international law and the UN Charter
Army-General Nikolai Makarov, the Chief of the Russian General Staff launched an apparently scathing attack on the domestic defense industry. His comments provoked public controversy with the Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin. However, as the Russian media focused on Makarov’s statements, it appears to have missed an important point. No other general supported the views offered by the Chief of the General Staff; their silence is deafening.
What will shape Medvedev’s legacy? The reset with the US which culminated in the ratification of a new Start treaty and Russian accession to the WTO?